Lessons in Modesty
Posted by Theo Heselmans on February 7th, 2008
What happens when you are presented 5 white wines and 5 red ones (all covered up) and you need to make an educated guess about country of origin, grape varietal, year, alcohol and price ?
A serious lesson in modesty !
- What seems like the easiest is the grape, as you should be able to deduct it from seeing/smelling/sipping. I got 3 white ones correct, and only 1 red !
- The country is much harder as many varietals are used all over the world, and styles are often mimicked.
- Year is always a guess (I had none of them correct).
- Alcohol can be experienced in the smell and the taste, but in a good wine it is embedded nicely; so guess-time again.
- The price-fork should be relatively simple (there were only 4 possibilities), but I managed to be mostly wrong here too !
scoring 16 points (out of 50), is rather humiliating :-)
Note that the top score was only 23 !
Thanks Danielle and Wim for putting us back on earth !
I'll have to 'study' harder,
so my score will be better next year (I can hardly do worse !).
PS. I'm turning 48 today.
2 more years to think about how I'm gonna change my life when I turn 50 !
A friend of mine, Paul Van Cotthem, is born on exactly the same day AND year. He had a mathematician calculate the chance of meeting a person, born on the same date as yourself, in your lifetime. The result was 3%. If you added 'and born in the same year', then the chance was extremely small.
Attached the math solution, made by 'Noca' for those interested: BirthdayQuestion.pdf
Category: Personal Wine | Technorati: Personal
Comments (7)
Happy Birthday Theo! I wish you a great day.
For all it's worth today is also my mother's birthday.
Happy Birthday Theo!
Wish you many more years to come!
Tom and the entire essensys crew.
Happy Birthday Theo.
In elementary school I had friend who was born on the same year and day as I. I didn't see him for ages.
Why do you want to change your life when you turn 50? Tasting wine, writing code doesn't seem so bad :-)
Happy birthday (and many years to come), Theo
Having participated at a similar blind taste, I cannot but cofirm your humble but rightful statement "a true lesson in modesty"! However: can you imagine any more valueable incentive to persevere? Quod non!
PS The cartoon version at the head of your Blog message is simply outstanding, may I suggest " up to exceding the original"?
Bert
Happy birthday uncle Theo! Enjoy your new guitar!!!
If you ever need a drummer? Just let me know! I've checked the "birhdayquestion" document but it's hard understanding... Bye bye!
Hey Theo,
a bit late but still a "welgemeende" happy birthday.
About your 3% rule, I also know two people who have the same birthday as me. One is also born in the same year, but he is my twin brother so that does not count, I suppose ;-)
On the other hand, my prof statistics had a great gimmick for the first lesson. He made 25 students on the first rows state their birthday. After 15 or so, we had a double. And then he explained us that the change of finding the same birthday in 25 people is higher than you would expect. But is too long ago and on a saturday evening I am not in the mood for mathematics. see ya
Hi Theo,
Not only do we have the same birth day and the same birth year, but your wife and mine both have the same first name, "Hilde".
Imagine the incredibly small odds of knowing another person on the planet for whom these 3 conditions are true... ;-)
Paul